Global Warming Science: www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming

 

Climate Migrants According to AOC and the Mainstream Press

 

[last update: 2019/05/27]

 

 

AOC

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ocasio-cortez-claims-climate-change-is-driving-migrant-crisis

 

Climate change? Really?

 

Where are the migrant caravans coming from? El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala.

 

Even the New York Times is smarter than AOC: “Like the hundreds of thousands of migrants who have fled Central America in recent years, most of the caravan’s participants have in mind a new life in the United States, though some say they intend to stop in Mexico. Many say they have been ground down by low wages, unemployment and poor public services in Honduras and are looking for better opportunities elsewhere. Others say they fear for their lives and intend to apply for asylum either in Mexico or the United States.” No mention of “climate change” in that NYT article.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/18/world/americas/trump-migrant-caravan.html

 

But most of the mainstream media have claimed the migrants are fleeing climate change.

 

 

 

The MSM says the migrants coming from Central America through Mexico to the US are climate refugees!

 

Time:

 

Washington Post:

 

The New Yorker:

(Interesting picture and caption below it for the New Yorker – it shows someone dressed for cold weather in this global warming scenario, and says the area is “affected by deforestation” while the man is cutting “firewood for cooking”. Conflation of human-caused issues such as deforestation with global warming is what the MSM excels at.)

 

 

 

The Central America Dry Corridor

 

Above image from https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/central-america-how-drought-affects-migration

[2015] “Poor climate conditions and high prices have left hundreds of thousands of families across the region without access to basic food necessities. Farmers working small holdings lack the surplus or access to credit to compensate for a poorer-than-expected or missed harvest. Many subsistence farmers, particularly in Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador, do not have the money to buy alternate food products to replace what they would grow themselves. The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization estimated that nearly 1 million people in Guatemala do not have sufficient food.

 

 

UN FAO:

http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/422132/icode/

The devastating El Niño event that began in 2015 was one of the worst on record and its impact continues to be felt in the Dry Corridor, compounding the damage from two consecutive years of drought. … Some 10.5 million people, about 60 percent of whom are in poverty, live in the Dry Corridor, a region characterized by extensive deforestation, soil degradation and water scarcity.

And:

Approximately 1.4 million farmers have lost between 80 and 100 percent of the corn, bean, and sorghum crops that comprise their staple foods. The United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) has called on governments and international organizations to send food aid to Central America, because available resources are inadequate to address the crisis,

And that was 2001.

 

According to the InterAmerican Development Bank

https://www.iadb.org/en/news/webstories/2001-10-01/chronicle-of-a-drought-foretold,9291.html

 “To judge from studies and predictions about the sad reality in Central America, human beings share a significant measure of responsibility for this disastrous situation. Natural events take an extraordinary toll on the region partly because people have altered the landscape in damaging ways. Deforestation diminishes the absorptive capacity of the land and leads to flash floods that destroy houses and cultivated fields. Such risks are compounded by land-use practices that allow people to live on steep slopes or river basins that should never be occupied by homes.

Also:

The current drought has followed a corridor of agroecological vulnerability that coincides with the region’s most depressed, arid, and poor areas, devastating the subsistence crops of people who lack irrigation infrastructure and water storage facilities. The drought has simply aggravated the critical underlying food situation in the region, which is experiencing alarming rates of malnutrition.

And:

“Clearly the underlying problem of hunger has grown worse because of the drought,” says Francisco Roque Castro, director of the WFP for Latin America and the Caribbean. He adds, “The basic problem is extreme poverty, and that problem remains unresolved.””

The drought in Central America is not so much a problem of a lack of water, but of distribution of water between areas of great abundance and others of scarcity. Basic management tools are needed to allow for rational resource allocation.

 

World Wildlife Fund:

https://www.worldwildlife.org/ecoregions/nt0209

This interesting dry forest ecoregion, which stretches along the Pacific Coast, corresponds to a tropical habitat that has a prolonged dry season of 5-8 months and is home to important plant and animal species, as well as a significant degree of endemism. This totally fragmented ecoregion, represented in less than 2% of the original habitat, is threatened by strong pressures from man, cattle, burning, agricultural expansion, and hunting operations. … Up to the middle of the 20th century, the ecoregion of the dry tropical forest of Central America extended in a continuous strip from the Pacific Coast of southwestern Mexico (southern Chiapas), through Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua to northwestern Costa Rica. The dry forest previously formed a continuous strip in lowland and premontane areas from 0-800 m elevation along the Central American Pacific Coast from southern Chiapas to Guanacaste.” [emphasis added]

Also:

In Honduras, the dry forests are very deteriorated. The principal cause has been migratory agriculture. With the country’s demographic explosion, the future is expected to bring a greater reduction in the few remaining dry forest habitat areas. Indiscriminate hunting and fishing, and trafficking in wildlife also threats this ecoregion. None of the small patches of dry forest in existence are found in protected areas.

And:

In Nicaragua, …. Most of the hydrographic basins are contaminated and experience frequent droughts. Deforestation is due to the conversion of forestlands to extensive cattle-raising and migratory agriculture. In addition, forests are cleared for firewood, which represents nearly 50% of all of the country’s energy sources

 

National Geographic

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2018/11/el-salvador-water-crisis-drought-climate-change/

In rural villages across El Salvador, like Serrano’s, more than 600,000 people have no access to drinking water, and hundreds of thousands more experience limited or intermittent access. Although Central America is rich in water resources, El Salvador’s small land area relative to its population size puts its thinning annual water supply per capita dangerously close to falling short of demand. Decades of failure to adequately regulate water use in the country have also opened the door to overexploitation and pollution, while fragmented water management has left services lacking. The result is a multilayered crisis of water scarcity, contamination, and unequal access that affects a quarter of the country’s population of 6.4 million.

And:

According to the Salvadoran Foundation for Economic and Social Development (FUSADES), nearly a quarter of the population in rural areas has no access to running water either in their homes or at public taps. Women and children are particularly impacted by shortages, as they tend to bear the burden of hauling water for domestic uses. For those living in areas controlled or contested by rival gangs, fetching water from remote sources also exposes them to greater risks of robbery, rape, and other attacks.

 

Counterpunch:

https://www.counterpunch.org/2014/10/31/starving-central-america/

Consider Honduras, where the Choluteca Department is part of the “dry corridor.” The U.S. Consul in Tegucigalpa wrote in 1904 of Choluteca’s wide “variety of vegetation,” “ranging from the pines and oaks of the highlands to the palm and cocoanut trees along the coast.” These rich woodlands were devastated seventy years later, declining from 29% to 11% of the census area in the 1960s and ’70s. Pastures increased their territorial coverage from 47% to 64% during the same period. “The cattle are eating the forest,” Billie R. DeWalt explained in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists three decades ago. The anthropologist Jefferson Boyer concurred, noting that Choluteca’s ranchers “simply hired labor to slash and burn the trees and brush, opening the land to grass production.”

Also:

Nicaragua’s agricultural history was similar, in broad terms. The León Department, now part of the “dry corridor,” impressed British trader Orlando W. Roberts, who described it in 1827 as a “well wooded country abounding in game.” And U.S. Vice-Consul Peter F. Stout wrote in 1859 that “the fertile plain of Leon” was “covered with forests,” its market overflowing with “melons, oranges, limes, lemons, papayas,” among the “variety of other edibles” available. But after World War II “the area around León was transformed into a dust bowl as plantation owners cut down forests and expelled tenant farmers and Indian communities from their land,”

 

The Dry Corridor: Not man-made climate change, but man-made land use change. Deforestation from agriculture and firewood. Lack of societal infrastructure like drinking water and irrigation. Not climate change caused by CO2.

 

 

 

Climate

 

There are no active temperature stations in El Salvador, Honduras or Guatemala in the GHCN used to analyze climate.

 

Gray areas above have NO DATA

 

 

Central American stations active in 1950: 1 in El Salvador, 1 in Guatemala, 1 in El Salvador

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/stdata/

 

Dry Corridor droughts are related to El Nino.

 

Tropical droughts and El Nino:

https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/2009JCLI3185.1

El Niño plays the largest role in tropical drought occurrence. For a substantial fraction of the tropics, severe droughts in the meteorological sense (i.e., precipitation deficit) develop preferentially during El Niño events (Lyon 2004). Furthermore, the severity and extent of tropical droughts exhibit a fairly linear relationship to the strength of El Niño events (Lyon 2004). The possibility of increases in the strength or frequency of El Niño events in a warmer future climate have clear negative societal implications for many of the already vulnerable tropical land areas.

 

And from the conclusions:

No significant change in relative El Niño strength or robust change in frequency is noted between climate change model simulations for the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. Based on an analysis that considers the intraensemble variability from individual models, any observed shift in ENSO characteristics will be effectively impossible to attribute to global warming…. Climate change models that do simulate ENSO variability appropriately exhibit realistic El Niño–induced drought patterns in the twentieth century, and those are not projected to change in the twenty-first century due to global warming.

 

 

Southern Mexican droughts related to El Nino:

https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JAM2210.1

 

NOAA:

There is nothing we can do to stop El Niño and La Niña events from occurring. The year-to-year oscillations between normal, warm, and cold conditions in the tropical Pacific associated with the ENSO cycle involve massive redistributions of upper ocean heat. For instance, the accumulation of excess heat in the eastern Pacific during a strong El Niño like that which occurred in 1997-98 is approximately equivalent to the output of one million medium-sized 1000 megawatt power plants operating continuously for a year. The magnitude of these natural variations clearly indicates that society cannot hope to consciously control or modify the ENSO cycle. Rather, we must learn to better predict it, and to adapt to its consequences.

https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/elnino/faq#about

 

 

 

 

Obama

 

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/

 

 

 

According to Obama:

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2016/10/20/working-together-toward-stable-and-prosperous-central-america

While overall Southwest border apprehensions remain lower than in FY 2014, the number of families fleeing poverty and violence in Central America remains high.  In 2014, Central Americans apprehended on the southern border outnumbered Mexicans for the first time.  In 2016, it happened again. .. The migration to our border is a symptom of much larger issues in Central America, such as the lack of economic opportunity and continuing gang violence.  That’s why advancing security, governance, and prosperity through the U.S. Strategy for Engagement in Central America remain priorities for this Administration. 

 

Lack of economic opportunity, gang violence.

He does not mention climate change.

 

 

 

https://www.npr.org/2019/01/09/683623555/president-obama-also-faced-a-crisis-at-the-southern-border

 

See also: https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2019/04/former-obama-border-patrol-director-crisis-at-border-is-worst-in-the-history-of-this-country/

 

 

 

https://www.americasquarterly.org/content/central-america-violent-ever-what-would-it-take-change

But on the poorer edges of town, two armed gangs — Mara Salvatrucha and Barrio 18 — are engaged in a turf war that has made El Salvador the world’s deadliest country not named Syria. The gangs, known as maras, operate with impunity, extorting “war tax” from many businesses. “If you dare to report this to the police, they kill you,” a businessman told me, asking that his name be withheld. “People prefer to pay what they can and continue working. It is like a disease, a social plague. We seem to be losing control completely.”  With this level of violence and impunity, it is hard for good projects to survive. Even the most promising entrepreneurial ideas tend to wilt away. In Suchitoto, restaurants and tour operators have seen business fall off. Tour guides have stopped visiting certain landmarks, including a local waterfall, without police protection. 

 

 

 

United Nations

 

The UN claimed there were going to be 50 million climate refugees by 2010. They got that wrong – see: http://appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/GW_Refugees.htm

 

At that time the UN showed the following map as to where the refugees would be occurring.

 

If we zoom in to Central America, we see the following:

No climate refugees in Central America.

 

In 2018 the UN held their annual climate confab in Poland in December 2018. Simultaneously, they held a meeting in Morocco to agree to a “migration pact”.

 

New York Times:

The Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration, a 34-page document, asserts that “no state can address migration alone” and outlines 23 objectives. They include the collection of better data on the movement of migrants, the strengthening of legal paths to migration, efforts to combat human trafficking and cooperation to ease the safe return of migrants to their countries of origin.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/10/world/europe/un-migration-deal-morocco.html

 

The phrase “climate change” appears zero times in the NYT article.

 

But what is this “global compact” really about?

Even the UN/IOM web page (https://www.iom.int/global-compact-migration) does not mention “climate change”.

 

But the actual compact text does. Phrases such as “understand, predict and address migration movements, such as those that may result from sudden-onset and slow onset natural disasters, the adverse effects of climate change, environmental degradation, as well as other precarious situations” appear several times within the document (bold added)

https://refugeesmigrants.un.org/sites/default/files/180713_agreed_outcome_global_compact_for_migration.pdf

 

Another example from the pact: “the adverse effects of climate change, and environmental degradation, such as desertification, land degradation, drought and sea level rise, taking into account the potential implications on migration

 

The migration compact document refers to “Agenda for the Protection of Cross-Border Displaced Persons in the Context of Disasters and Climate Change”. This is something developed by the “Nansen Initiative” started by Norway and Switzerland:

For the purposes of the Protection Agenda, disasters refer to disruptions triggered by or linked to hydro-metrological and climatological natural hazards, including hazards linked to anthropogenic global warming, as well as geophysical hazards” (bold added).

https://nanseninitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/PROTECTION-AGENDA-VOLUME-1.pdf

 

And now that the pact has been approved at the UN, the Nansen Initiative (https://www.nanseninitiative.org/) has announced that the initiative is complete and is now replaced with the Platform on Disaster Displacement (https://disasterdisplacement.org/)

 

The Nansen Initiative web site described the ”Challenge” as “Every year around the world, millions of people are forcibly displaced by floods, windstorms, earthquakes or droughts. Many find refuge within their own country but some have to go abroad. In the context of climate change, such movements are likely to increase.

 

The Disaster Displacement web site replaced the Challenge with the ”Context”, described as “Every year, millions of people are forced to leave their homes because of floods, tropical storms, droughts, glacier melting, earthquakes and other natural hazards. Many find refuge within their own country, but some have to move abroad. Scientists warn that climate change is projected to increase displacement in the future.

 

Reuters is not trying to hide the agenda:

Be it by flood, drought or hurricane, communities at risk of climate displacement have won vital protection after their plight was for the first time recognized in a global pact on migration

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-migration-climatechange/u-n-pact-offers-hope-to-worlds-climate-migrants-idUSKBN1K92CN

 

From the above article: “The deal recognized climate change as a cause for migration, outlining ways for countries and states to cope with communities that are displaced by natural disasters as well as “slow onset events” like drought, desertification and rising seas.

 

More on the pact: https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2018/12/05/un-migration-pact-normalizing-state-censorship/

 

More than 10 years ago the refugees / migrants were going to be headed to Antarctica!

 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/earthnews/3353247/Climate-change-study-predicts-refugees-fleeing-into-Antarctica.html

 

 

 

The Conclusion

 

The MSM promote lies about “climate change”, conflating human caused conditions of deforestation, poverty and violent crime, along with naturally occurring droughts, with their fantasy “climate change”. According to the scientific papers and NOAA, El Nino is a natural cycle not affected by global warming and results in the droughts in the Central American Dry Corridor. Lack of good living conditions in those countries and generous welfare in the US drive the migration.

 

As for AOC, she loves to drum up fear of the climate apocalypse. She thinks climate change is causing increased tornadoes – even though the opposite is true. Paul Homewood gives her a good debunking here: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2019/05/25/aoc-thinks-her-green-deal-will-stop-tornadoes/

 

With so much actual climate information available on the Internet it’s hard to believe that anyone falls for the MSM lies.

Who are these people that are so gullible?

Oh yes, the “party of science”. Partying like it’s 1984.

 

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/may_2019/

67_of_democrats_think_u_s_has_12_years_to_fight_global_warming_or_else

Sad.